Thursday, April 6, 2017

Trades into Thursday, April 6th

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There are 2 sell orders for the open.

There are 10 buy orders for the open.

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The two sell orders are in the EWT and FXI positions.
  • STC 370 shares FXI market at 9:32 a.m.
  • STC 303 shares EWT market at 9:32 a.m.
I took the trades at the close yesterday afternoon (3:59 pm ET) and received 38.91 and 33.61, respectively.

The buy orders, and the respective strategies in parenthesis, are as follows:

  • BTO 68 shares EFA market at 9:32 a.m. (RSI 25)
  • BTO 115 shares XHB market at 9:32 a.m. (RSI 25)
  • BTO 136 shares EFA market at 9:32 a.m. (R3)
  • BTO 230 shares XHB market at 9:32 a.m. (R3)
  • BTO 21 shares EFA market at 9:32 a.m. (TPS)
  • BTO 29 shares EFA market at 9:32 a.m. (RSI 10/6)
  • BTO 46 shares XHB market at 9:32 a.m. (TPS)
  • BTO 54 shares EFA market at 9:32 a.m. (MDD)
  • BTO 56 shares XLV market at 9:32 a.m. (RSI 25)
  • BTO 66 shares EWJ market at 9:32 a.m. (MDD)
Base portfolio size is $67,483, including the recent gains.

The TPS strategy allows 4 positions.  A fully loaded position would be $16,870.  The new positions in EFA and XHB are first time entries to this strategy and are at 10% scale-in, so each order is $1,687 in size.

The RSI 25 strategy allows 8 positions.  This is a fully-loaded position size of $8,435.  The scale-in is 50/50, so each order is $4,217 in size.

The R3 strategy also allows 8 positions with no 2nd entry (each position is 100%).  Hence, the order size is $8,435.

The MDD strategy allows 12 positions.  A fully loaded position would be $5,623 in size.  The scale-in is 60/40, and these are 1st entries.  hence the size is $3,374.

The RSI 10/6 strategy allows 13 positions.  A fully loaded position would be $5,191.  The scale-in is 35/65, making the first entry $1,816 in size.

Combining orders to take advantage of commissions, we have
  • BTO 308 shares EFA market at 9;32 a.m.
  • BTO 391 shares XHB market at 9:32 a.m.
  • BTO  56 shares XLV market at 9:32 a.m.
  • BTO 66 shares EWJ market at 9:32 a.m.
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The only option on these four ETFs worth pursuing is with EFA.  If I sell the April 62.5 call at $83 my total gain could be another 1.35% and monthly gain equating to 2.81%.  I am placing the following order:
  • STO 3 EFA 170421P62.5 0.83 limit GTC
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3-Month Rolling Performance

Historical, rolling, annualized 3-month performance from the 3-month backscan is as follows.  The numbers will be different than previous blog entries because this is a ROLLING snapshot -- the period shown below is 1/7/2017 to 4/6/2017.  Roughly multiply the values by 4 to get an annual value (dollars and trades only; the other percentage metrics are accurate for the time period and need no multiplication).

Summary Value
Total Return $1,535.00
Total Realized Return $1,260.05
Gross Profit $2,448.17
Gross Loss ($1,188.12)
Open Trade P/L $274.95
   
Number of Trades 67
Number of Winning Trades 46
Number of Losing Trades 21
% Profitable 68.66%
   
Average Trade $18.81
Average Trade (%) 0.29%
Standard Deviation Trade $80.29
Standard Deviation Trade (%) 1.01%
Largest Winning Trade $211.72
Largest Losing Trade ($293.40)
   
Profit Factor 2.06
Average Win / Average Loss 0.94
Sharpe Ratio 0.1132
K-Ratio 0.1481
Return Retracement Ratio 6.4229
   
Compounded Annual Return 6.68%
Compounded Monthly Return 0.53%
   
Average Annual Return $1,535.00
Average Annual Return (%) 1.54%
Average Monthly Return $383.75
Average Monthly Return (%) 0.38%
   
Percent Days Profitable 45.90%
Percent Months Profitable 75.00%
Percent Years Profitable 100.00%
   
Commissions on Futures $0.00
Commissions on Currencies $0.00
Commissions on Equities $321.39
Total Commissions $321.39


Note that no strategies are omitted from these results.

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As with all my ramblings, you are responsible for your own investment decisions and I am not.  Please do your own diligence, and please take ownership for your actions.

Regards,

pgd





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